Lots at Stake this Weekend as ALL Regular Season Wraps Up

by Lance Winn

LOTS OF TIEBREAKER SCENARIO'S HEADING INTO THE FINAL WEEKEND OF THE ALL REGULAR SEASON

Heading into the final weekend of the Arena Lacrosse League regular season there are 10 tiebreaking scenario's depending on who wins and loses their final game. St. Catharines has clinched 1st, Peterborough 2nd, but we could see lots of maneuvering amongst the remaining five teams. We do know Whitby can only move up one spot to 6th, Six Nations can move up as high as 4th, the other three teams all still have a shot at 3rd.

Current standings based on head to head tiebreakers are:

St. Catharines ShockWave 11-1

Peterborough Timbermen 8-5

Paris RiverWolves 6-7

Oshawa Outlaws 6-7

Toronto Monarchs 5-8

Six Nations Snipers 5-8

Whitby Steelhawks 4-9

So let the fun begin with the following 10 scenario's in play:

Scenario 1. Whitby can move as high as 6th if they beat Oshawa Saturday night and Toronto loses Friday night against St. Catharines and Six Nations beats Peterborough Saturday. If this scenario happens both Whitby and Toronto will finish 5 and 11. Whitby owns the head to head series 2 games to 1.

Scenario 2. If Whitby wins vs Oshawa, Toronto loses Friday against St. Catharines and Six Nations loses Saturday against Peterborough, all three teams will finish tied at 5 and 11 therefore we would go head to head amongst the 3. Whitby would be 2 and 3, Toronto would be 3 and 2, and Six Nations would be 2 and 2. Based on winning pct between the 3 teams: Toronto would finish 5th, Six Nations 6th and Whitby 7th.

Scenario 3. If Toronto wins Friday, Six Nations wins Saturday, Oshawa loses Saturday and Paris loses Sunday we would have a four-way tie for 2nd with 6 and 8 records, we would therefore take the head to head records amongst the four teams:

Toronto vs Paris 2-0 plus 14

Toronto vs Oshawa 0-2 minus 9

Toronto vs Six Nations 2-0 plus 4

overall 4-2 plus 9

Paris vs Six Nations 2-1 plus 1

Paris vs Oshawa 2-0 plus 5

Paris vs Toronto 0-2 minus 14

overall 4-3 minus 8

Oshawa vs Six Nations 1-1 minus 5

Oshawa vs Paris 0-2 minus 5

Oshawa vs Toronto 2-0 plus 9

Overall 3-3 minus 1

Six Nations vs Oshawa 1-1 plus 5

Six Nations vs Paris 1-2 minus 1

Six Nations vs Toronto 0-2 minus 4

Overall 2-5 even

Based on winning pct. Toronto would finish 3rd, Paris would finish 4, Oshawa would finish 5 and Six Nations would finish 6.

Scenario 4. If Oshawa and Paris both win their games this weekend and finish at 7 and 7, Paris gets 3rd and Oshawa 4th based on Paris 2 and 0 record head to head with Oshawa.

Scenario 5. If Paris loses Sunday and Six Nations wins Saturday, and Oshawa wins Saturday, Paris and Six Nations finish 6 and 8. Paris would get 4th place and Six Nations 5th based on Paris 2 and 1 record head to head with Six Nations.

Scenario 6. If Toronto wins Friday, Six Nations wins Saturday, Oshawa wins Saturday, Paris loses Sunday we have a 3-way tie for 4th with 6 and 8 records (Paris, Toronto and Six Nations):

Six Nations vs Paris 1-2 minus 1

Six Nations vs Toronto 0-2 minus 4

overall 1-4 minus 5

Paris vs Six Nations 2-1 plus 1

Paris vs Toronto 0-2 minus 14

overall 2-3 minus 13

Toronto vs Paris 2-0 plus 14

Toronto vs Six Nations 2-0 plus 4

overall 4-0 plus 18

Toronto would finish 4th, Paris 5th, and Six Nations 6th.

Scenario 7: If Paris loses, Oshawa loses, Toronto loses, and Six Nations wins, we have a 3-way tie for 3^rd:

Paris vs Six Nations 2-1 plus 1

Paris vs Oshawa 2-0 plus 5

overall 4-1 minus 6

Six Nations vs Oshawa 1-1 plus 5

Six Nations vs Paris 1-2 minus 1

Overall 2-3 plus 4

Oshawa vs Six Nations 1-1 minus 5

Oshawa vs Paris 0-2 minus 5

Overall 1-3 minus 10

Paris would finish 3^rd, Six Nations 4^th, and Oshawa 5^th

Scenario 8: If Toronto wins, Oshawa loses, Paris loses and Six Nations loses, we have a 3-way tie for 3^rd:

Toronto vs Paris 2-0 plus 14

Toronto vs Oshawa 0-2 minus 9

overall 2-2 plus 5

Oshawa vs Paris 0-2 minus 5

Oshawa vs Toronto 2-0 plus 9

Overall 2-2 plus 4

Paris vs Oshawa 2-0 plus 5

Paris vs Toronto 0-2 minus 14

overall 2-2 minus 9

Toronto would finish 3^rd, Oshawa 4^th and Paris 5^th.

Scenario 9: If Oshawa wins, Paris wins, Six Nations wins and Toronto wins, we have a 2-way tie for 5^th between Toronto and Six Nations at 6 and 8. Toronto would finish 5^th and Six Nations 6^th based on Toronto’s 2 and 0 record head to head with Six Nations.

Scenario 10: If Paris and Toronto finish in a 2-way tie for 4^th at 6 and 8, Toronto would get 4^th and Paris 5^th due to Toronto’s 2 and 0 record head to head with Paris.

So there you go, when the dust settles Sunday March 31st around 6pm we will have our Quarter- Final match-up set for Saturday April 6 and Sunday April 7 at the TRAC in Oakville.